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From Inflation to Weather, Challenges for Commodities

About the Presenter Bluford “Blu” Putnam has served as Managing Director and Chief Economist of CME Group since May 2011. With more than 35 years of experience in the financial services industry and concentrations in central banking, investment research, and portfolio management, Blu serves as CME Group’s spokesperson on global economic conditions. View more reports…

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Fertilizer Monthly Update ‒ October 2020

Helping the World Advance: CME Group comprises of four Designated Contract Markets (DCMs). Further information on each exchange’s rules and product listings can be found by clicking on the links to CME, CBOT, NYMEX and COMEX. Exchange traded and Over-The-Counter (OTC) derivatives are not suitable for all investors, and involve the risk of loss. Exchange…

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China’s Growth Recovers Amid Signs of Caution

Overall, the GDP numbers, taken in the context of the other data such as the industrially focused Li Keqiang index, indicate that China, like much of the world, is experiencing a K-shaped recovery – where one branch ascends while the other descends. In China, as elsewhere in the world, the ascending branch includes those who…

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Appreciating a Conflicted Treasury Market

One of the possible scenarios in the bond market is whether the economy is rebounding quickly or not. Third quarter 2020 US real GDP is currently estimated by the Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta’s “GDP Now” as being in the mid-30% range at an annualized rate. Dividing by four, this means an 8% or so…

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Could Stimulus Raise Bond Yields?

This raises questions for bond investors that relate to the Fed.  When the first stimulus package passed Congress in March, the Fed bought much of the newly issued debt and that helped to keep long-term bond yields low and stable (Figure 2).  But would the Fed buy such a large portion of a second round…

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Will Fed Underwrite Another Stimulus?

About the Presenter Erik Norland is Executive Director and Senior Economist of CME Group. He is responsible for generating economic analysis on global financial markets by identifying emerging trends, evaluating economic factors and forecasting their impact on CME Group and the company’s business strategy, and upon those who trade in its various markets. He is…

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Distressed Debt: A Growing Risk?

About the Presenter Bluford “Blu” Putnam has served as Managing Director and Chief Economist of CME Group since May 2011. With more than 35 years of experience in the financial services industry and concentrations in central banking, investment research, and portfolio management, Blu serves as CME Group’s spokesperson on global economic conditions. View more reports…

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Dividends Stagnate Even as Equities Shine

About the Presenter Erik Norland is Executive Director and Senior Economist of CME Group. He is responsible for generating economic analysis on global financial markets by identifying emerging trends, evaluating economic factors and forecasting their impact on CME Group and the company’s business strategy, and upon those who trade in its various markets. He is…

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Conflicting Scenarios for Growth

About the Presenter Bluford “Blu” Putnam has served as Managing Director and Chief Economist of CME Group since May 2011. With more than 35 years of experience in the financial services industry and concentrations in central banking, investment research, and portfolio management, Blu serves as CME Group’s spokesperson on global economic conditions. View more reports…

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Palm Oil Monthly Update ‒ October 2020

USD Malaysian Crude Palm Oil futures* settled at $649.00 per metric ton at the end of September 2020, creating a -$12.75 price movement from the beginning of the month. During the month, 20-day rolling volatility ranged from 22.5% to 37.1%, with an average of 28.2%. Bean Oil – Palm Oil (BOPO)** price increased from $68.42…

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